BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arizona St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 76 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (2-7) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  146.04

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2022 Home    W   156.69  40   3   1B  50 (  3-  8) Northern Arizona       10.65     26.35                      
  2 09/10/2022 Away    L   141.59  17  34   1A  38 (  7-  5) Oklahoma St            -4.44    -12.56                      
  3 09/17/2022 Home    L   124.91  21  30   1A 108 (  8-  4) Eastern Michigan      -21.13     12.13                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    L * 147.98  13  34   1A  10 ( 10-  3) Utah                    1.95    -22.95                      
  5 10/01/2022 Away    L * 150.55  25  42   1A  15 ( 11-  2) Southern Cal            4.52    -21.52                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    W * 166.91  45  38   1A  24 ( 10-  2) Washington             20.87    -13.87                      
  7 10/22/2022 Away    L * 145.16  14  15   1A  80 (  3-  9) Stanford               -0.87     -0.13                      
  8 10/29/2022 Away    W * 140.43  42  34   1A 117 (  1- 11) Colorado               -5.61     13.61                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    L * 142.53  36  50   1A  29 (  9-  3) UCLA                   -3.51    -10.49                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    L * 150.54  18  28   1A  33 (  7-  5) Washington St           4.50    -14.50                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    L * 137.46   7  31   1A  16 (  9-  3) Oregon St              -8.58    -15.42                      
 12 11/25/2022 Away    L * 147.69  35  38   1A  67 (  5-  7) Arizona                 1.65     -4.65                      
      Averages             146.04  26.1 31.4

Best game:  166.91 = 7 point win over Washington
Worst game: 124.91 = 9 point loss to Eastern Michigan
Team stdev:  10.36